The role of selective extinction in promoting cooperation in a many demes model

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Abstract

This study investigates the evolution of cooperation in a deme-structured population where individuals interact via the Prisoner's Dilemma. Reproduction is payoff-dependent, and demes contribute to a global migrant pool proportionally to their fecundity. Deme extinction occurs with a baseline probability plus an additional probability term that is proportional to the fraction of defectors in the deme, modulated by a parameter α. Extinct demes are then repopulated from the migrant pool. A two-timescale analysis, valid in the limit of a large number of demes, reveals that the system's evolutionary dynamics are well-approximated by a continuous-time diffusion process. Using this diffusion approximation, we show that uniform extinction (α=0) suppresses cooperation. However, extinction targeting defector-dominated demes can significantly promote cooperation, establishing critical thresholds of α that determine when cooperation dominates. The study further explores how varying extinction rates and reproductive dynamics impact cooperation's persistence and evolutionary success in structured populations.

Original languageEnglish
Article number112212
JournalJournal of Theoretical Biology
Volume613
DOIs
StatePublished - 7 Oct 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd

Keywords

  • Diffusion approximation
  • Extinction-recolonization Mathematics Subject Classification (2020):
  • Fixation probability
  • Identity by descent
  • Island model
  • Primary 91A25
  • Prisoner's dilemma
  • Secondary 60J70

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • General Medicine
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • General Immunology and Microbiology
  • General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
  • Applied Mathematics

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