The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand

Arif Hussain; Kafiat Ullah; Usama Perwez; Muhammad Shahid

doi:10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966

The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand

Arif Hussain
, Kafiat Ullah
, Usama Perwez
, Muhammad Shahid

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

The long-Term forecasting of electricity demand at regional level has recently gained significance due to competitiveness of decentralized energy system. For sustainable development of any region, energy demand modeling plays a key role. This paper is based on LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternative Planning) to calculate the total demand of Gilgit-Balitistan for the base year 2016 to the end year 2040. Gilgit is an area of massive strategic and economic-importance, located in the northern most region of Pakistan, which connects with China through Khunjerab pass, India through Astore Skardu districts and Afghanistan through Ghizer valley. It acts as the gateway for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project. Gilgit-Baltistan is divided into two main divisions namely, Gilgit and Baltistan Division. The total demand of Gilgit-Baltistan is mainly composed of residential, industrial and commercial sub-sectors. End user approach is used in this paper for analysis of electricity demand. Overall, the forecasted electricity demand analysis of Gilgit-Baltistan will be able to provide sustainable alternatives for demand side management and supply policy selections at regional level.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)	9781538670279
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966
State	Published - 9 Apr 2019
Externally published	Yes
Event	4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018 - Islamabad, Pakistan Duration: 10 Sep 2018 → 12 Sep 2018

Publication series

Name	4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018

Conference

Conference	4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018
Country/Territory	Pakistan
City	Islamabad
Period	10/09/18 → 12/09/18

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 IEEE.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals

Keywords

Demand Analysis
Electricity
LEAP
Pakistan

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Nuclear Energy and Engineering
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

Access to Document

10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966

Cite this

Hussain, A., Ullah, K., Perwez, U., & Shahid, M. (2019). The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand. In 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018 Article 8685966 (4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966

Hussain, Arif ; Ullah, Kafiat ; Perwez, Usama et al. / The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand. 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2019. (4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018).

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title = "The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand",

abstract = "The long-Term forecasting of electricity demand at regional level has recently gained significance due to competitiveness of decentralized energy system. For sustainable development of any region, energy demand modeling plays a key role. This paper is based on LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternative Planning) to calculate the total demand of Gilgit-Balitistan for the base year 2016 to the end year 2040. Gilgit is an area of massive strategic and economic-importance, located in the northern most region of Pakistan, which connects with China through Khunjerab pass, India through Astore Skardu districts and Afghanistan through Ghizer valley. It acts as the gateway for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project. Gilgit-Baltistan is divided into two main divisions namely, Gilgit and Baltistan Division. The total demand of Gilgit-Baltistan is mainly composed of residential, industrial and commercial sub-sectors. End user approach is used in this paper for analysis of electricity demand. Overall, the forecasted electricity demand analysis of Gilgit-Baltistan will be able to provide sustainable alternatives for demand side management and supply policy selections at regional level.",

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Hussain, A, Ullah, K, Perwez, U & Shahid, M 2019, The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand. in 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018., 8685966, 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018, Islamabad, Pakistan, 10/09/18. https://doi.org/10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966

The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand. / Hussain, Arif; Ullah, Kafiat; Perwez, Usama et al.
4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2019. 8685966 (4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

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AU - Perwez, Usama

AU - Shahid, Muhammad

PY - 2019/4/9

Y1 - 2019/4/9

N2 - The long-Term forecasting of electricity demand at regional level has recently gained significance due to competitiveness of decentralized energy system. For sustainable development of any region, energy demand modeling plays a key role. This paper is based on LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternative Planning) to calculate the total demand of Gilgit-Balitistan for the base year 2016 to the end year 2040. Gilgit is an area of massive strategic and economic-importance, located in the northern most region of Pakistan, which connects with China through Khunjerab pass, India through Astore Skardu districts and Afghanistan through Ghizer valley. It acts as the gateway for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project. Gilgit-Baltistan is divided into two main divisions namely, Gilgit and Baltistan Division. The total demand of Gilgit-Baltistan is mainly composed of residential, industrial and commercial sub-sectors. End user approach is used in this paper for analysis of electricity demand. Overall, the forecasted electricity demand analysis of Gilgit-Baltistan will be able to provide sustainable alternatives for demand side management and supply policy selections at regional level.

AB - The long-Term forecasting of electricity demand at regional level has recently gained significance due to competitiveness of decentralized energy system. For sustainable development of any region, energy demand modeling plays a key role. This paper is based on LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternative Planning) to calculate the total demand of Gilgit-Balitistan for the base year 2016 to the end year 2040. Gilgit is an area of massive strategic and economic-importance, located in the northern most region of Pakistan, which connects with China through Khunjerab pass, India through Astore Skardu districts and Afghanistan through Ghizer valley. It acts as the gateway for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project. Gilgit-Baltistan is divided into two main divisions namely, Gilgit and Baltistan Division. The total demand of Gilgit-Baltistan is mainly composed of residential, industrial and commercial sub-sectors. End user approach is used in this paper for analysis of electricity demand. Overall, the forecasted electricity demand analysis of Gilgit-Baltistan will be able to provide sustainable alternatives for demand side management and supply policy selections at regional level.

KW - Demand Analysis

KW - Electricity

KW - LEAP

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M3 - Conference contribution

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T3 - 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018

BT - 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018

PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

T2 - 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018

Y2 - 10 September 2018 through 12 September 2018

ER -

Hussain A, Ullah K, Perwez U, Shahid M. The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand. In 4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2019. 8685966. (4th International Conference on Power Generation Systems and Renewable Energy Technologies, PGSRET 2018). doi: 10.1109/PGSRET.2018.8685966

The Long-Term Forecast of Gilgit Baltistan(Gb)'s Electricity Demand

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

Bibliographical note

UN SDGs

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

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Cite this