Resource efficient PV power forecasting: Transductive transfer learning based hybrid deep learning model for smart grid in Industry 5.0

Umer Amir Khan, Noman Mujeeb Khan, Muhammad Hamza Zafar*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

30 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper presents an innovative approach for enhancing power output forecasting of Photovoltaic (PV) power plants in dynamic environmental conditions using a Hybrid Deep Learning Model (DLM). The hybrid DLM employs a synergy of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), effectively capturing spatial and temporal dependencies within weather data crucial for accurate predictions. To optimize the DLM's performance efficiently, a unique Kepler Optimization Algorithm (KOA) is introduced for hyperparameter tuning, drawing inspiration from Kepler's laws of planetary motion. By leveraging KOA, the DLM attains optimal hyperparameter configurations, elevating power output prediction precision. Additionally, this study integrates Transductive Transfer Learning (TTL) with the deep learning models to enhance resource efficiency. By leveraging knowledge gained from previously learned tasks, TTL enables the DLM to improve its forecasting capabilities while minimizing resource utilization. Datasets encompassing environmental parameters and PV plant-generated power across diverse sites are employed for DLM training and testing. Three hybrid models, amalgamating KOA, CNN, LSTM, and Bi-LSTM techniques, are introduced and evaluated. Comparative assessment of these models across distinct PV sites yields insightful observations. Performance evaluation, focused on short-term PV power forecasting, underscores the hybrid DLM's superiority over individual CNN and LSTM models. This hybrid approach achieves remarkable accuracy and resilience in predicting power output under varying weather conditions, showcasing its potential for efficient PV power plant management.

Original languageEnglish
Article number100486
JournalEnergy Conversion and Management: X
Volume20
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2023

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Author(s)

Keywords

  • Deep learning models
  • Industry 5.0
  • Photovoltaic energy systems
  • Renewable energy

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Nuclear Energy and Engineering
  • Fuel Technology
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology

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