Reliability assessment of a stand-alone hybrid system using Monte Carlo simulation

Ahmad F. Saleem, Ibrahim H. Banat, Mohammad Almuhaini

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

9 Scopus citations

Abstract

Research on adequacy assessments of systems with integrated renewable generation sources has been carried out for decades, with increasing attention recently on stand-alone systems. In this paper, a reliability assessment of a stand-alone system that runs on wind turbine generators (WTGs), photovoltaic (PV) modules, batteries for storage, and backup micro gas turbines (MGTs) with different configurations is carried out using the Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS) method. Some atmospheric data on wind speed, solar irradiation, and ambient air temperature are needed to obtain the power outputs of the corresponding sources. Historical data were fitted into a Weibull distribution, and the extracted scale and shape parameters were used to re-simulate the important factors of renewable generation power output models. The two-state reliability model was employed to obtain the adequacy model of the MGTs. The two-state reliability model was combined with the output power models to build the generation model of WTGs, PVs and batteries. The generation model was then tested on the IEEE Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS) as a load model.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication13th International Multi-Conference on Systems, Signals and Devices, SSD 2016
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages714-719
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781509012916
DOIs
StatePublished - 18 May 2016

Publication series

Name13th International Multi-Conference on Systems, Signals and Devices, SSD 2016

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 IEEE.

Keywords

  • Micro gas turbine
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Photovoltaic
  • Wind turbine generator

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Signal Processing
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Control and Optimization
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Instrumentation

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