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Prediction of CO2 emissions to achieve net-zero objectives in the iron and steel sectors of North America

  • Ángel Francisco Galaviz Román
  • , Golam Kabir*
  • , M. Bakhtiar Azim
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Predictive models are widely used to create effective plans for reducing CO2 emissions in manufacturing. The Iron and Steel (I&S) industries play a crucial role in meeting international commitments to achieve Net-zero emissions by 2050. The objective of this study is to forecast carbon dioxide emissions from the I&S industries in North America through the utilization of a Multi-Objective Mathematical model. The proposed data-driven approach is integrated with various machine learning algorithms capable of accurately predicting future values with a small dataset. Additionally, sensitivity analyses under different scenarios are conducted to evaluate the impact of implementing proposed solutions by the research community. Results show a significant improvement in accuracy through the employment of the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA). Forecasts reveal a sustained increment of 0.7 MtCO2 every year spanning between 2022 and 2050. This study provides valuable information for stakeholders and policymakers as it allows a more precise evaluation to integrate new technologies to abate forthcoming CO2 emissions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)183-196
Number of pages14
JournalInternational Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management
Volume20
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 International Society of Management Science and Engineering Management.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
    SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
  2. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • Carbon emission
  • North America
  • forecasting
  • iron and steel
  • machine learning algorithm

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Engineering (miscellaneous)
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Information Systems and Management

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