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Machine Learning Based Solar Power Forecasting Techniques: Analysis and Comparison

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Because of global warming and the overconsumption of traditional resources, it is critical to consider alternative forms of energy sources in order to have clean and adequate energy for long-Term growth. Solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation is essential to reducing power demand shortages and supplying clean energy to smart grids. Due to the intermittent and unpredictable nature of solar PV-generated power, an accurate approach for PV power forecasting is required. However, because of the rise of big data and machine learning (ML), forecasting is now a realistic solution. This paper analyses and compares different advanced ML-based models for PV power forecasting. Moreover, a data split technique for time series data with a small period has been proposed for better regularization. The analytical findings revealed that the suggested long short-Term memory and gated recurrent unit models outperformed other models, including the artificial neural network model. The ML-based models are compared with the benchmark persistence forecast technique.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2022 IEEE PES 14th Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, APPEEC 2022
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9781665467384
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022
Event14th IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, APPEEC 2022 - Melbourne, Australia
Duration: 20 Nov 202223 Nov 2022

Publication series

NameAsia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, APPEEC
Volume2022-November
ISSN (Print)2157-4839
ISSN (Electronic)2157-4847

Conference

Conference14th IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference, APPEEC 2022
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CityMelbourne
Period20/11/2223/11/22

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 IEEE.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

  • Forecasting
  • Photovoltaic system
  • Random forest
  • Recurrent neural network
  • Support vector regression

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology

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