How do the gold intra-day returns and volatility react to monetary policy shocks?

Basel Awartani, Syed Mujahid Hussain*, Nader Virk

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, we use high frequency data to obtain novel asymmetry results in the short-term response of gold to monetary policy shocks. The gold returns and volatility 5 min after the shock are found to be more sensitive to looser than tighter FOMC rate announcement changes. This is explained by the increased appeal of gold during uncertainties and as a safe haven following negative monetary shocks. The rally in gold prices is construed by the market as an increase in the demand for safe haven assets, and hence, a stronger response in gold returns and volatility ensues. Moreover, we find that the gold price adjustment and its volatility adjustment continue for longer than five minutes after the FOMC shock. This suggests potential short-term inefficiencies in the gold market concerning the short-term rates.

Original languageEnglish
Article number103486
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume95
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024

Keywords

  • COVID
  • FOMC announcements
  • Financial crisis
  • Gold futures
  • High-frequency data
  • Intraday volatility

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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