Evaluation of the prognostic impact of pathologic tumor regression grade on patients with colorectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background: The prognostic value of the pathological response to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer (RC) remains unknown. Objectives: We aimed to assess the predictive value of the response to CRT that was derived from an evaluation of the histological findings (whole-section vs. representative-section sampling) and attempted to determine an objective cut-off value for the tumor regression grade (TRG). Methods: We examined the association of the TRG with the outcomes (recurrence-free survival [RFS] and overall survival [OS]) of 78 patients with RC. Patients with RC treated with preoperative CRT were divided into development (30 cases) and validation (48 cases) cohorts. The TRG was classified as grades I (Ia, Ib), II, and III. The cut-off value was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: The TRG determined from whole-section sampling versus representative-section sampling was more strongly correlated with patient survival. We found that in both cohorts, patients with a cut-off value of <73% had a poor prognosis. Finally, the cut-off value was found to be an independent predictive factor in both univariate and multivariate analysis. Conclusions: The TRG that was used to evaluate patients with RC who underwent preoperative CRT was an independent prognostic factor for outcome.