Evaluating Health Threats and Health Security Actions Under Uncertainty

Gilberto Montibeller*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

Abstract

Uncertainty forms a key complexity in any health security decision. Uncertainties arise when the evidence about impacts of health threats is either incomplete or lacking and also from the imprecisions in estimating the future performance of decision alternatives. Here we discuss ways in which we are able to incorporate uncertainty in the evaluation of decision alternatives and in the assessment of health threats. Behavioral studies have observed biases in decision making under uncertainty. Hence, a systematic representation of uncertainties should be executed in order to support experts and decision makers to debias their judgments and make reasoned choices under uncertainty.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Series in Operations Research and Management Science
PublisherSpringer
Pages329-384
Number of pages56
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameInternational Series in Operations Research and Management Science
Volume328
ISSN (Print)0884-8289
ISSN (Electronic)2214-7934

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Software
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Strategy and Management
  • Management Science and Operations Research
  • Applied Mathematics

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Evaluating Health Threats and Health Security Actions Under Uncertainty'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this