Comparative study of machine learning models for evaluating groundwater vulnerability to nitrate contamination

The accurate evaluation of groundwater contamination vulnerability is essential for the management and prevention of groundwater contamination in the watershed. In this study, advanced multiple machine learning (ML) models of Radial Basis Neural Networks (RBNN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and ensemble Random Forest Regression (RFR) were applied to determine the most accurate performance for the evaluation of groundwater contamination vulnerability. Eight vulnerability factors of DRASTIC-L were rated based on the modified DRASTIC model (MDM) and were used as input data. The adjusted vulnerability index (AVI) with nitrate values was used as output data for the modeling process. The performance of three models was verified using the statistical performance criteria of MAE, RMSE, r², and ROC/AUC values. The ensemble RFR model showed the highest performance in comparison with standalone SVR and RBNN models. Specifically, ensemble RFR kept all promising solutions during the model performance due to its flexibility and robustness, and the vulnerability map obtained by the RFR model was more accurate for predicting the most vulnerable areas to contamination. It was concluded that ensemble RFR was a robust tool to enhance the evaluation of groundwater contamination vulnerability, and that it could contribute to environmental safety against groundwater contamination.