Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis

Gilberto Montibeller; Detlof Von Winterfeldt

doi:10.1109/HICSS.2015.148

Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis

Gilberto Montibeller
, Detlof Von Winterfeldt

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

29 Scopus citations

Abstract

Developing models and estimating parameters for multi-criteria decision analysis requires judgments by experts and decision makers. These judgments are subject to biases, which can reduce the quality of the analysis. Some of these biases are due to faulty cognitive processes, some are due to motivations for preferred analysis outcomes. We describe these biases, how they affect multi-criteria decision analysis and discuss some debiasing techniques.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015
Editors	Tung X. Bui, Ralph H. Sprague
Publisher	IEEE Computer Society
Pages	1218-1226
Number of pages	9
ISBN (Electronic)	9781479973675
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/HICSS.2015.148
State	Published - 26 Mar 2015
Externally published	Yes
Event	48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015 - Kauai, United States Duration: 5 Jan 2015 → 8 Jan 2015

Publication series

Name	Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
Volume	2015-March
ISSN (Print)	1530-1605

Conference

Conference	48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015
Country/Territory	United States
City	Kauai
Period	5/01/15 → 8/01/15

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2015 IEEE.

Keywords

Biases
Debiasing
Decision analysis
Multi-criteria decision analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General Engineering

Access to Document

10.1109/HICSS.2015.148

Cite this

Montibeller, G., & Von Winterfeldt, D. (2015). Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis. In T. X. Bui, & R. H. Sprague (Eds.), Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015 (pp. 1218-1226). Article 7069955 (Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences; Vol. 2015-March). IEEE Computer Society. https://doi.org/10.1109/HICSS.2015.148

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keywords = "Biases, Debiasing, Decision analysis, Multi-criteria decision analysis",

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note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2015 IEEE.; 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015 ; Conference date: 05-01-2015 Through 08-01-2015",

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doi = "10.1109/HICSS.2015.148",

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Montibeller, G & Von Winterfeldt, D 2015, Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis. in TX Bui & RH Sprague (eds), Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015., 7069955, Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, vol. 2015-March, IEEE Computer Society, pp. 1218-1226, 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015, Kauai, United States, 5/01/15. https://doi.org/10.1109/HICSS.2015.148

Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis. / Montibeller, Gilberto; Von Winterfeldt, Detlof.
Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015. ed. / Tung X. Bui; Ralph H. Sprague. IEEE Computer Society, 2015. p. 1218-1226 7069955 (Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences; Vol. 2015-March).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

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AB - Developing models and estimating parameters for multi-criteria decision analysis requires judgments by experts and decision makers. These judgments are subject to biases, which can reduce the quality of the analysis. Some of these biases are due to faulty cognitive processes, some are due to motivations for preferred analysis outcomes. We describe these biases, how they affect multi-criteria decision analysis and discuss some debiasing techniques.

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BT - Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015

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Montibeller G, Von Winterfeldt D. Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis. In Bui TX, Sprague RH, editors, Proceedings of the 48th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2015. IEEE Computer Society. 2015. p. 1218-1226. 7069955. (Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences). doi: 10.1109/HICSS.2015.148

Biases and debiasing in multi-criteria decision analysis

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

Bibliographical note

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

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Cite this