A neural network-based model for estimating the delivery time of oxygen gas cylinders during COVID-19 pandemic

Since COVID-19 was declared as a pandemic by World Health Organization in March 2020, 169,682,828 cases have been reported worldwide, with 151,416,570 recovered, and 3,526,647 deaths by May 28, 2021. Oxygen gas cylinders demand is booming globally due to its need for COVID-19’s for intensive care. Thus, it is critical for hospitals to know exactly the time of receiving oxygen gas cylinders since this will help in minimizing the fatality rate. In this regards, this paper proposes a Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network-based model to predict the delivery time of oxygen gas cylinders for a real-life logistics data from a company that delivers oxygen gas cylinders to all cities around Saudi Arabia. Besides, Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network is benchmarked to supported vector machine and multiple linear regression. Although all the considered models have the ability to provide accurate prediction results, the findings indicate that the proposed supported vector machine and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network model provide better prediction results. The analysis was achieved through a methodology to identify factors with the highest impact and build a neural network model. The model was further optimized to identify the best order and select the best subset of input variables. The analysis showed that the neural network model can be used effectively to estimate the delivery time of oxygen gas cylinders. The model illustrated high accuracy of prediction by comparing the predicted values to the actual values.